David M. Kemme currently holds the William N. Morris Chair of Excellence in International Economics at the University of Memphis. He has served as Director of the International MBA program (1994-1997) and Chair of the Economics Department (1997). Prior to joining the University of Memphis he was a W. Frank Barton Faculty Fellow at Wichita State University (1991-1994) and Pew Charitable Trusts Scholar-in-Residence at the Institute for East-West Studies, New York (1989-1991) where he directed the Economics and Security Program. In 1991 he was also a Distinguished Fellow at the Mitsui Research Institute in Tokyo. Most recently he was a visiting scholar at the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. He earned a BA in mathematics from Miami University (Oxford, OH) and MA and Ph.D. in economics from The Ohio State University. He was a Fulbright Lecturer at the Main School of Planning and Statistics in Warsaw (1981-1982).
He has researched and published more than sixty articles on the economics of transition in the former Soviet Union and Eastern Europe, productivity and efficiency in Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union, exchange rate misalignment, disequilibrium macroeconomics, and the chronic shortage model of centrally planned economics. He is author of Economic Transition in Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union: Issues and Strategies and has edited or co-edited four other books. Dr. Kemme served as Associate Editor of the scholarly journal Economic Change and Restructuring, and Co-editor of Comparative Economic Studies. He is a member of the Editorial Board of the Atlantic Economic Journal and the European Journal of Comparative Economics. He is a member of the Board of Consultants of Economic Systems and a member of the Executive Committee of the European Association of Comparative Economics. His work has been translated and published in Russian, Japanese, Ukrainian, Polish and Armenian.
He has served as a consultant to numerous organizations and corporations including BearingPoint, Shell Oil, FedEx, the Rand Corporation, the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (World Bank), the Asian Development Bank, the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress, the European Union, the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization, the United Nations Development Program, the US Agency for International Development, and the Academy for Educational Development, among others. Most recent consulting activities include econometric modeling for The Central Bank and the Ministry of Finance of Armenia and inflation forecast targeting models and small structural macro-econometric models for the National Bank of the Republic of Kazakhstan. He has made numerous appearances in both local and national news media including CNN, FNN and CNBC programs and is regularly quoted in leading national newspapers such as the New York Times, the New York Post, the Washington Post and the Wall Street Journal.
His current research interests are macroeconometric modelling and forecasting, economic crises and sovereign wealh funds.
Work In Progress:
- “Did the Recent Housing Boom Signal the Global Financial Crisis?”Southern Economic Journal, 78,3: 999-1018 (2012). With Saktinil Roy.
- “What is Really Common in the Run-up to Banking Crises?” Economics Letters, 113 (2011) 211-214. With Saktinil Roy. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2011.07.007
- From Peg to Float: Exchange Market Pressure and Monetary Policy in the Czech Republic,” Review of International Economics, 19(1), 93-108. (2011) With Gennady Lyakir. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111j.1467-9396.2010.00934.x
- “Using Extraneous Information to Analyze Monetary Policy in Transition Economies” Journal of International Money and Finance, 28 (2009) 868-879. With William T. Gavin. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2008.09.005
- “Inflation Targeting in Armenia: Monetary Policy in Transition,” Comparative Economic Studies 50,3: 421-437. (2008). With King Banaian and Grigor Sargsyan.
- “Risk, Regulation and Competition in Banking and Finance in Transition Economies,” Comparative Economic Studies, 50,2: 210-216 (2008). With Koen Schoors and Rudi Vandervennet.
- “Real Exchange Rate Misalignment: Prelude to Crisis?” Economic Systems, 30: 207-230 (2006). With Saktinil Roy.
- “Najwazniejsze zagrozenia rownowagi finansow publicznych w Polsce w przedniu wejscia do Unii Europejskiej,” Studi Ekonomiczne 36/37, 1-2: 11-30 (2003) With Ryszard Rapacki.
- “Liberalization, Entry and Product Quality in Transition Economies,” Economic Systems, 26,4. (2002). With Pinaki Bose.
- "Fiscal Reform, Fiscal Policy and Fiscal Constraints during Transition in Poland," Post-Soviet Economics and Geography, 41,8: 581-598. (2000) With Ryszard Rapacki.
- "Determinants of the Real Exchange Rate, Misalignment and Implications for Growth in Poland," Economic Systems, 24,2:171-205. (2000) With Wenyuan Teng.
- "Banking Sector Reform in the Transition Economies - A Central Banking Perspective: Comment," Economic Survey of Europe, (1998) No. 2:82-84.
- "Access to Bank Loans in a Transition Economy: The Case of Hungary," Journal of Comparative Economics, 24,1:79-89. (1997) With Philip Hersch and Jeffry Netter.
- “Competition in Transition Economies: Determinants of Price‑Cost Margins in Private Sector Manufacturing in Eastern Europe." Southern Economic Journal, 61, 2: 356‑366 (1994). With Phillip Hersch and Sharad Bhandari.
- “The Chronic Shortage Model of Centrally Planned Economies." Soviet Studies, 41, 3:345‑364 (1989).
- “Productivity Growth in Polish Industry." Journal of Comparative Economics, 11, 1:1‑20 (1987).
- “The Polish Economic Crisis: Contributing Factors and Economic Costs." Journal of Comparative Economics , 8, 1:25‑40 (1984). With Keith Crane.
- “Discriminating Among Alternative Production Functions in Polish Industry." Empirical Economics , 9, 1:59‑66 (1984).
- “Microeconomic Efficiency in the Polish Enterprise During the NEM Period." Economics of Planning , 18, 1:1‑21 (1982).
- “Econometric Models of East European conomies: A Survey of Models of Poland." The Association of Comparative Economic Studies Bulletin , 33, 2:58‑69 (1981).
Chapters in Edited Volumes:
- “Exchange Rate Misalignment: Macroeconomic Fundamentals as an Indicator of Exchange Rate Crises in Transition Economies,” Empirical Methods for Analyzing the Risks of Financial Crises, Sonderheft 3/2003, Institut für Wirtschaftforschung Halle, Halle
- “Russian Financial Transition: The Development of Institutions and Markets for Growth,” in Russia’s Uncertain Economic Future a Compendium of papers submitted to the Joint Economic Committee, Congress of the United States (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, December, 2001), pp. 183-211.
- “Determinants of Productivity in Central Europe during Economic Transition,” in Planning, Shortage and Transformation, Essays in Honor of Janos Kornai, Eric Maskin and Andras Simonovits, Eds. (Cambridge: MIT Press, 2000). With Sharad Bhandari.
- "Economic Transition and Economic Performance: Lessons from Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union" in The System Transformation of Transition Economies: Europe, Asia and North Korea, Doowon Lee, Ed. (Seoul: Yonsei University Press, 1997) with Michael Marrese.
- “Post-Privatization Issues in Central Europe,” in East Central European Economies in Transition, Study Papers submitted to the Joint Economic Committee, Congress of the United States, (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1994)
- “Banking in Central Europe During the Protomarket Period: Developments and Emerging Issues." In Development and Reform of the Financial System in Central Europe. John P. Bonin and Istvan Szekely, editors. (Hampshire, UK: Edward Elgar Publishing, Ltd., 1994).
- “Obstacles to Reform: 1981‑1988." In Economic Reform in Poland: The Aftermath of Martial Law 1981‑1988 . David M. Kemme, editor. (Greenwich, CT: JAI Press, 1991).
- “The Chronic Excess Demand Hypothesis." In Models of Disequilibrium and Shortage in the Centrally Planned Economies, C. Davis and W. Charemza, editors. (Andover, UK: Chapman and Hall, 1989).
- “The Polish Crisis: An Economic Overview." In Politics in Contemporary Poland: Edge of the Abyss , Jack Bielasiak and Maurice Simon, editors (New York: Praeger Publishers, 1984).
Special Reports, Articles in Professional Journals and Proceedings:
- “The National Funds of Kazakhstan” US State Department Title VIII Grant Report. (2011)
- “Kazakhstan: Implementing Inflation Forecast Targeting: Final Report,” March 2009, ADB Financial Sector Governance TA-4431 (KAZ). (and 8 progress reports 2005-2008). With Warren Coats.
- Modeling CPI Inflation in Armenia ” Macroeconomic and Fiscal Analysis Team, Bearing Point, USAID Tax and Fiscal Reform Project (2004).
- “A Structural Econometric Model of the Armenian Economy: Version 2,” Macroeconomic and Fiscal Analysis Team, Bearing Point, USAID Tax and Fiscal Reform Project (2004).
- “The Role of the Parliament and Central Bank in Monetary Policy" in Experience, Forms, and Methods of Parliamentarian's Activities, Congressional Research Service, Library of Congress, (Washington, D.C.: USGPO, Fall 1994).
- Reform of the System of Money Banking and Credit in Central Europe (Kiev, Ukraine: Harvard University Project on Economic Reform in Ukraine, 1994). In Ukrainian.
- “Poland: Review of the Private Small and Medium Scale Enterprise Sector," IBRD, Report No. 8991‑POL, September 5, 1990. Multiple authors.
- Managing the Transition: Integrating the Reforming Socialist Economies into the World Economy , Report of the Working Group on International Economic Change, Restructuring and East‑West Security, (New York: IEWS, 1989). (Reprinted in Japanese in Seiron, February, 1990, pp. 160‑174).
- “A Preliminary Specification of an Econometric Model of Poland." SRI‑International, Center for Economic Policy Research and Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates, Inc., Washington, D.C., September 1979.
Selected Sponsored Activities
Principal Investigator for sponsored research or Project Director for institutional programs or research funded by the Pew Charitable Trusts, the Sasakawa Peace Foundation, the Japan Economics Foundation, the United States Information Agency, the Council for Soviet and East European Research, the International Research and Exchanges Board, the American Council of Learned Societies, the Social Science Research Council. Participant in projects funded by the Ford Foundation, the Rockefeller Brothers Fund and the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation, FedEx, St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, The Commercial Appeal.